Thursday, June 22, 2017

Is #Uganda's #Museveni contemplating a union with #SouthSudan?

First published by Change of Guards blog on March 13, 2014
Museveni gave support to the South Sudan independence struggle on grounds that he was containing the spread of Islamic Fundamentalism from Khartoum.  In doing so he registered the support of the USA. Unknown to many, Museveni's main interest was to counter the potential bases for the struggling people of Northern and West Nile regions of Uganda against his governance.  
The over two decades old northern Uganda insurgency alludes to this.  It is in the same efforts that the SPLA Chairman John Garang died in a mysterious helicopter crash provided to him by Museveni thus giving way for Museveni's puppet Silva Kiir to take over.
Since Southern Sudan gained independence two years ago, there has been internal squabbles that exploded to full military clashes in December 2013.  Museveni moved his private army into South Sudan to save President Silva Kiir from being overthrown. His army has been involved in combat operations against the rebelling SPLA in defiance of calls by the international community for hm to withdraw his troops.
The rebel faction is composed of Museveni's arch enemies like former SPLM Secretary General Pagan Anum who according to Museveni had links with Uganda's rebel group, LRA.  It is in the same vein that the vocal Minister of State for regional cooperation, Okello Oryem has been left in the cold on matters concerning the current South Sudan saga.
Museveni has used the current South Sudan crisis and his military intervention to indirectly rebuke the UN and the West in particular through the puppet shaky government of Silva Kiir.  He has found an opportunity to prove his traditional argument thus "African solutions for African problems".
He has openly declared his intentions to dump the West and instead deal with Russia.  The conflict in South Sudan is not about to be resolved.  The rebelling SPLA has the capacity to overrun the government troops and overthrow the government of South Sudan of it was not for the presence of Museveni's army.  Museveni has cited protection of Uganda's security interests as the idea behind the military intervention.
Before 1960, the major political parties in Zanzibar i.e. ASP, ZNP, NPP and UMA had such differences that threatened the state along racial lines (African Arabs and black Africans).  In December 1963 Zanzibar gained independence from Britain with Mohamed Shamte as the Prime Minister under the rule of the Sultan.
On 12/01/1964, a bloody revolution led by Ugandan John Okello took place.  The Sultan fled into exile and the Arab influence on the island was contained by the leader of the ASP Sheikh Abed Amani Karume taking over as President.  Tanganyika's President Nyerere provided him with the required security apparatus. Hardly a month later, Tanganyika and Zanzibar were united to give rise to Tanzania.
Zanzibar lost its sovereignty and Tanganyika disappeared.  Fifty years on, the union remains one of the most controversial issues in Tanzania.
Museveni is not about to give in to such calls for withdrawing his troops from South Sudan. Is he contemplating to enter a union of some kind with South Sudan??

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